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ROI 10 Analysis

Fade or follow public money?

You may have noticed on our Twitter page, every day for all 28 days in February, we posted the dashboard results for our ROI10 filter. However, those tweets only tell a fraction of the story. (If you’re unsure how ROI10 is calculated, check out our dashboard blog.)

Here’s the full February 2025 breakdown—280 bets, offering key insights for future plays.

We tracked all bets as 1 unit plays, except plays of -300 or greater. We don’t bet heavy ML favorites.

  • Fading the public on every ROI10 play returned -24.68 units (See ‘FTP Record’)
  • With the public on every ROI10 play returned -0.43 units (See ‘WTP Record’).

The takeaway? You can’t blindly fade or follow public money and expect to turn a profit; however profit is possible, keep reading.

We also tracked spread, total, and money line bets—both with and against public money, on a per-day basis. See FTP_3 and WTP_3 tabs for deeper insights.

Lastly, we tracked units won by day, and this is where a very recognizable pattern emerged.

Betting with the public on Monday/Tuesday and fading them Wednesday, Thursday, and Saturday would’ve netted +28.10 units in February alone.

See for yourself here.

This is the power of our dashboard. Anyone with access could’ve tracked this and reached the same conclusion.

We get it—most people just want picks, not analysis. But everything is pattern recognition, and we want to raise awareness of these patterns to our members, to empower you to make more informed betting decisions on a nightly basis.

February had unique factors—the Super Bowl (Vegas’s biggest cash cow) and All-Star breaks for NBA & NHL—but the data remains valuable.

March Madness is upon us. Big money’s coming. Get back into the dashboard and start winning.

Even if your unit size is just $1, this dashboard pays for itself.

See you on the other side.

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